Dogecoin (DOGE) is under pressure as its open interest has crashed to $1.57 billion, a significant drop from its January 18 peak of $5.42 billion, according to Coinglass data. This steep decline raises major concerns about the meme coin’s short-term trajectory and investor sentiment in the crypto derivatives market.
At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at around $0.16, down over 2% in the last 24 hours (source: CoinMarketCap). The massive pullback in open interest suggests that traders are increasingly cautious, with many stepping to the sidelines amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
Bearish Signals Mount for DOGE
The drop in open interest is not the only red flag. Several macro and technical indicators are adding to the bearish narrative surrounding Dogecoin. One such concern is U.S. President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, which could spark a global economic shakeup—typically unfavorable for risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies.
As a result, DOGE has fallen from a weekly high of around $0.20, and analysts fear a deeper correction is imminent.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that $0.16 is a critical support level for Dogecoin. If this level holds, DOGE may rebound to as high as $0.57, but if it breaks below, the meme coin could plunge to $0.06. Another analyst, Master Kenobi, pointed out that a drop below $0.14 could officially end DOGE’s bull run.
But Bulls Aren’t Giving Up Yet
Despite the bearish sentiment, some market analysts maintain a bullish long-term outlook on Dogecoin.
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Analyst Aliimn remains optimistic, suggesting DOGE is breaking out of a multi-year descending triangle. The move is supported by a surge above the Ichimoku Cloud and a rising RSI, both indicators of bullish strength. According to his projections, DOGE could rally to $2 or beyond.
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Meanwhile, analyst Trader Tardigrade identified an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern—a classic bottoming signal. A confirmed breakout above the neckline could propel DOGE back to the $0.20 range in the short term.
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CryptoElites, another analyst, believes the bottom is already in, forecasting that Dogecoin could reach at least $2 by the end of April or May, and possibly up to $2.7.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile and risky. Always conduct your research before making any investment decisions.