The mood among Bitcoin traders is showing early signs of optimism, with a key metric from Binance flipping to neutral territory, suggesting a possible resurgence of bullish momentum.
According to a recent note published by CryptoQuant contributor DarkFost, the Binance Taker Buy Sell Ratio — which gauges whether buyers or sellers are dominating on Binance — has reached 1.008, indicating that buyers are starting to reclaim control of trading volume.
“The ratio has been mostly positive over the past few days, suggesting bullish sentiment is picking up again on Binance’s derivatives market,” DarkFost explained.
A ratio above 1 typically means buyers are dominating, signaling bullish conditions, while below 1 suggests a bearish lean with sellers in control.
Bullish Signals Appear Amid Sideways Price Action
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $83,810, down 1.47% over the past week, per CoinMarketCap data. On April 14, Bitcoin briefly pushed past $86,000, during which the ratio spiked above 1.1, reflecting increased buying pressure.
Crypto analytics firm CoinGlass reports that if Bitcoin surges past $85,000, over $637 million in short positions could be liquidated, potentially triggering a sharper upward move.
Despite the neutral sentiment on Binance, broader crypto market sentiment remains cautious. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 29/100, signaling “Fear”, while many investors continue favoring Bitcoin over altcoins.
Data from CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index shows a score of 15 out of 100, indicating we are still deep in “Bitcoin Season.” Additionally, TradingView’s Bitcoin Dominance Chart puts BTC market share at 63.81%, up nearly 10% year-to-date.
Analysts Split on Near-Term Price Direction
While traders and analysts agree that demand for Bitcoin is slowly recovering, some caution that momentum could stall again. Historical data shows that Bitcoin’s 30-day apparent demand can stay flat after a local bottom, potentially causing prices to trade sideways.
Some voices in the crypto community, like analyst DeFiDaniel, describe the recent price activity as “so boring,” reflecting investor fatigue following Bitcoin’s recent consolidation.
Meanwhile, Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, offered a more optimistic view in a March interview with Cointelegraph, suggesting the market may be underestimating how quickly Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs — potentially before the end of Q2.
A more nuanced take came from AnchorWatch CEO Rob Hamilton, who wrote in an April 15 post on X that Bitcoin’s flat price action could be attributed to a “tug of war” between tax season sellers and buyers using refunds to accumulate BTC. The U.S. tax deadline was on April 15, which may explain the current indecisiveness in the market.
Outlook: Wait for a Break Above $85K?
For now, eyes are on the $85,000 resistance level, which could serve as a major turning point in Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. A breakout could catalyze a wave of short liquidations, strengthening the bullish case and lifting prices toward new local highs.
However, with market sentiment still in fear and volume yet to strongly confirm the move, traders are likely to remain cautious while watching for stronger confirmation signals.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile and risky. Always conduct your research before making any investment decisions.